\n
<\/p> \n
Bank of America<\/b>\u00a0(Banco de Am\u00e9rica) elev\u00f3 a 8 % su pronostico acerca de que tan lejos el Banco de la Rep\u00fablica<\/b> elevar\u00e1 sus tasas de inter\u00e9s <\/b>desde un estimado previo de 7,5 %, debido a “condiciones inflacionarias desafiantes<\/i>“, escribi\u00f3 el economista Alexander M\u00fcller en una nota. <\/p> \n
(Vea: Impuestos y subsidios, ejes de los cambios que insta la Ocde). <\/p> \n
El economista prev\u00e9 un aumento de 100 puntos b\u00e1sicos en febrero,<\/b> en una decisi\u00f3n de tasas fuera del calendario regular de decisiones de pol\u00edtica monetaria, quiz\u00e1s con un par de miembros de la junta (de siete) votando por 150 puntos b\u00e1sicos. <\/p> \n
En enero, el Banco de la Rep\u00fablica elev\u00f3 su tasa de inter\u00e9s en 100 puntos b\u00e1sicos, a 4 %. <\/p> \n
(Vea: Ya se nota menor din\u00e1mica de consumo por la alta inflaci\u00f3n). <\/p> \n
La inflaci\u00f3n anual de casi 7 % en enero (6,94 %) estuvo impulsada por el fin de los d\u00edas libres de IVA, la reversi\u00f3n del denominado impoconsumo del 8 % en restaurantes, la indexaci\u00f3n de precios y las presiones en los costos de los alimentos. <\/p> \n
Para M\u00fcller, la inflaci\u00f3n terminar\u00eda 2022 en 5,8 % frente al 4,8 % anterior,<\/b> y alcanzar\u00eda, a finales de 2023, un nivel de 4,4 %, revisada desde 3,7 %. <\/p> \n
“Creemos que la inflaci\u00f3n subyacente seguir\u00e1 aumentando en los pr\u00f3ximos trimestres, presionado por la indexaci\u00f3n<\/i>“, dijo el economista. <\/p> \n
(Vea: Villar: inflaci\u00f3n de alimentos bajar\u00eda en segundo trimestre). <\/p> \n
El experto apunta a que la inflaci\u00f3n b\u00e1sica en febrero aumentar\u00e1 considerablemente debido a los aumentos en los costos de educaci\u00f3n, especialmente porque las clases ser\u00e1n presenciales por primera vez desde que comenz\u00f3 la pandemia. <\/p> \n
Sin embargo, consider\u00f3 que el impulso de la inflaci\u00f3n b\u00e1sica deber\u00eda desacelerarse en marzo, cuando tendr\u00e1 lugar el pr\u00f3ximo d\u00eda sin IVA.<\/b> <\/p> \n
“Es dif\u00edcil explicar por qu\u00e9 la inflaci\u00f3n de alimentos est\u00e1 tan alta -casi 20 % interanual- y no muestra un cambio<\/i>“, asever\u00f3, a la vez que se\u00f1al\u00f3 que, actualmente, es incluso m\u00e1s alta que en 2016,<\/b> cuando Colombia sufri\u00f3 el fen\u00f3meno clim\u00e1tico El Ni\u00f1o, una huelga de camioneros y una fuerte ca\u00edda del peso. <\/p> \n
(Vea: La Ocde estima que el PIB de Colombia crezca 5,5 % en 2022). <\/p> \n
El experto dijo que no ve que la desinflaci\u00f3n de alimentos <\/b>ocurra r\u00e1pidamente. <\/p> \n
BLOOMBERG <\/p> \n<\/div>\n
Fuente: Portafolio<\/a> <\/p> \n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Bank of America\u00a0(Banco de Am\u00e9rica) elev\u00f3 a 8 % su pronostico acerca de que tan lejos el Banco de la Rep\u00fablica elevar\u00e1 sus tasas de … <\/p> \n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":74803,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1273],"tags":[2304,1894,5150,2137,3180],"yoast_head":"\n
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